Eurasia Informer

Spain’s Economy Grew 3.2% in 2024

~50%Spain’s economy grew 3.2% in 2024, one of the fastest in the eurozone, driven by strong domestic demand, robust tourism, and EU recovery funds, Powered by strong household spending, resilient investment and a solid tourism sector, Spain delivered one of the eurozone’s strongest growth performances in 2024.

Comparison with Other Eurozone Economies

Spain’s economic growth in 2024 was the fastest-growing major EU economy in 2024, thanks to its diversified sectors and lower reliance on heavy industry (unlike Germany).

CountryGDP Growth (2024)Key Factors
Spain3.2%Tourism, domestic demand, EU funds
France1.2%Weak industrial output, lower consumption
Germany0.7%Recession risk, manufacturing slump
Italy1.5%Moderate recovery, banking sector strength
Eurozone Avg.1.5%Stagnation in Germany weighed on region

Spain was the fastest-growing major EU economy in 2024, thanks to its diversified sectors and lower reliance on heavy industry (unlike Germany).

Spain’s Sector Performance in 2024

  • Services (+4.1%) – Led by tourism, trade, and transport.
  • Industry (+2.5%) – Manufacturing and automotive sectors rebounded.
  • Construction (+3.0%) – Boosted by housing demand and public works

Key Drivers of Spain’s 3.2% Growth in 2024

Tourism & Services Sector (Major Contributor)

  • Tourist arrivals exceeded pre-pandemic levels, with over 85 million visitors (compared to 83.5 million in 2019).
  • Contribution to GDP: Tourism accounted for ~12% of Spain’s GDP and supported hospitality, transport, and retail employment.
  • Top source markets: UK, Germany, France, and a rebound in Asian tourists (especially China).

Strong Domestic Demand

  • Private consumption grew by ~2.8%, supported by:
    • Declining inflation (falling to ~3.4% in 2024 from 8.4% in 2022) boosted purchasing power.
    • Wage increases (collective agreements saw ~4% wage hikes).
    • Improved consumer confidence due to labour market recovery.
  • Public consumption also contributed to increased social spending and infrastructure investments.

Investment & EU Recovery Funds

  • Gross fixed capital formation (investment) grew by ~5%, fueled by:
    • EU Next Generation funds (Spain received €160+ billion in grants/loans). Spain effectively deployed Next Generation EU funds, boosting public investment in infrastructure, digitalization, and green energy projects.
    • Green energy & digital transformation projects (e.g., renewable energy expansion, 5G rollout).
    • Housing market recovery (residential investment up 6%).

Export Growth & Manufacturing Resilience

  • Exports rose by ~4.5%, led by:
    • Automotive sector (Spain is the 2nd largest car producer in Europe).
    • Agri-food exports (olive oil, wine, pork – key markets: EU, US, China).
    • Pharmaceuticals & chemicals.
  • Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) remained strong, particularly in tech and renewable energy.

Challenges Ahead for Spanish Economy

Despite Spain’s economy growing at 3.2%, it faces several structural and cyclical challenges that could impact its growth trajectory in the coming years.

Persistent Inflation & High Interest Rates

  • Core inflation remains sticky (around 2.6% in February 2025), driven by services and food prices.
  • Mortgage strain: Many Spanish households have variable-rate mortgages, making them vulnerable to rate hikes.

Labor Market Weaknesses

  • High structural unemployment (~10.6%), with youth unemployment still at 24.90%, the highest among EU members and significantly above the EU average of 14.6%
  • Temporary contracts (around 20% of workers) create job insecurity and lower productivity.
  • Skills mismatch: Growing tech and green sectors struggle to find qualified workers.

Public Debt & Fiscal Pressures

  • Public debt (~107% of GDP) remains elevated, limiting stimulus options.
  • Pension costs are rising due to an ageing population (over 20% of Spain’s budget goes to pensions).
  • EU fiscal rules returning in 2025 could force spending cuts.

Productivity & Competitiveness Issues

  • Low R&D investment (only 1.4% of GDP vs. EU average of 2.2%).
  • SME-dominated economy: Many small firms lack digitalization and scalability.
  • Bureaucracy slows business formation and foreign investment.

Energy Dependence & Climate Transition Costs

  • Despite progress in renewables (wind & solar now account for ~50% of electricity mix), Spain still imports ~70% of its fossil fuels.
  • High energy transition costs: Industries (e.g., steel and cement) face expensive decarbonization.

Regional & Political Risks

  • Catalonia’s independence tensions resurface occasionally, deterring investment.
  • Fragmented politics: Minority governments struggle to pass reforms (e.g., labour and pensions).
  • Rural depopulation: “Empty Spain” (interior regions) lags in infrastructure and services.

External Risks that may Impact Spain’s Economy

  • The slowdown in key EU markets (Germany, France) could hurt exports.
  • Spain’s tourism dependence (~12% of GDP) makes it vulnerable to global shocks (geopolitical tensions and recession).

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